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Based on our discussions with the sell-side analysts who publish equity research on Moonpig Group plc our understanding of current market consensus is as follows:
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| FY26 (Consensus) | FY27 (Consensus) | FY28 (Consensus) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group revenue (£m) | 376.3 | 406.2 | 435.6 |
| Group revenue growth YoY (%) | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Adjusted EBITDA (£m) | 101.6 | 110.0 | 117.4 |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin rate (%) | 27.0% | 27.1% | 27.0% |
| Adjusted PBT (£m) | 69.4 | 76.4 | 85.0 |
| Adjusted Basic Earnings Per Share (p) | 16.0 | 18.9 | 21.8 |
| Dividend per share (p) | 4.0 | 4.9 | 6.0 |
Moonpig Group has identified certain Alternative Performance Measures (“APMs”) that it believes provide additional useful information on the performance of the Group. These APMs are not defined within IFRS and are not intended to substitute or be considered as superior to IFRS measures. Furthermore, these APMs may not necessarily be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies.
Adjusted EBITDA is profit before taxation, interest, depreciation, amortisation and Adjusting Items. Adjusted EBITDA margin is Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenue. Adjusted PBT is profit before taxation and Adjusting Items. Adjusted Basic Earnings Per Share ("EPS") is stated before Adjusting Items. Adjusting Items in the period covered by consensus relate to the amortisation of intangible assets acquired on business combination (“acquisition amortisation”) and the impairment of goodwill. However, the Group does not add back IFRS 2 share based payments in its APMs.
Consensus is compiled from financial estimates provided by third-party research analysts. Financial estimates that include material errors in calculation (where identified) or are out-of-date are excluded. Where an analyst subsequently withdraws coverage, their financial estimates are excluded. Consensus was last updated on 14 July 2025. It is based on estimates published by the following ten analysts: Berenberg, Canaccord Genuity, Deutsche Numis, Jefferies, J.P. Morgan, Panmure Liberum, Peel Hunt, RBC Capital Markets, Singer Capital Markets and UBS.
The forecasts aggregated within the above have not been prepared by and are not endorsed in any way by Moonpig Group. Moonpig Group has neither verified nor commented on any individual estimates, nor does it intend to do so in the future. Moonpig Group assumes no responsibility to update, revise or otherwise comment on any of the information contained in these forecasts. Financial forecasts are, by definition, forward looking, and are therefore subject to various risks and uncertainties which are subject to change at any time.
Analysts covering Moonpig Group
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| Sell-side house | Analyst |
|---|---|
| Berenberg | Adam Tomlinson |
| Canaccord Genuity | Karl Burns |
| Deutsche Numis | Alison Lygo |
| Jefferies | Andrew Wade |
| JP Morgan | Georgina Johanan |
| Panmure Liberum | Anubhav Malhotra |
| Peel Hunt | Jonathan Pritchard |
| RBC Capital Markets | Ross Broadfoot |
| Singer Capital Markets | Matthew McEachran |
| UBS | Beatrice Alen |