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Analyst consensus

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Company-compiled consensus​

Based on our discussions with the sell-side analysts who publish equity research on Moonpig Group plc our understanding of current market consensus is as follows:

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FY25 (Consensus)FY26 (Consensus)FY27 (Consensus)
Group revenue (£m)352.9379.5412.5
Group revenue growth YoY (%)3.5%7.5%8.7%
Adjusted EBITDA (£m)95.2101.9111.1
Adjusted EBITDA margin rate (%)27.0%26.9%26.8%
Adjusted PBT (£m)63.768.777.7
Adjusted Basic Earnings Per Share (p)14.015.819.0
Dividend per share (p)3.04.04.9


Moonpig Group has identified certain Alternative Performance Measures (“APMs”) that it believes provide additional useful information on the performance of the Group. These APMs are not defined within IFRS
and are not intended to substitute or be considered as superior to IFRS measures. Furthermore, these APMs may not necessarily be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies.

Adjusted EBITDA is profit before taxation, interest, depreciation, amortisation and Adjusting Items. Adjusted EBITDA margin is Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenue. Adjusted PBT is profit before taxation and Adjusting Items. Adjusted Basic Earnings Per Share ("EPS") is stated before Adjusting Items. Adjusting Items in the period covered by consensus relate to the amortisation of intangible assets acquired on business combination (“acquisition amortisation”) and the impairment of goodwill. However, the Group does not add back IFRS 2 share based payments in its APMs.

Consensus is compiled from financial estimates provided by third-party research analysts. Financial estimates that include material errors in calculation (where identified) or are out-of-date are excluded. Where an analyst subsequently withdraws coverage, their financial estimates are excluded. Consensus was last updated on 9 April 2025. It is based on estimates published by the following eleven analysts: Berenberg, Canaccord Genuity, Deutsche Numis, HSBC, Jefferies, J.P. Morgan, Panmure Liberum, Peel Hunt, RBC Capital Markets, Singer Capital Markets and UBS.

The forecasts aggregated within the above have not been prepared by and are not endorsed in any way by Moonpig Group. Moonpig Group has neither verified nor commented on any individual estimates, nor does it intend to do so in the future. Moonpig Group assumes no responsibility to update, revise or otherwise comment on any of the information contained in these forecasts. Financial forecasts are, by definition, forward looking, and are therefore subject to various risks and uncertainties which are subject to change at any time.

Analysts covering Moonpig Group

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Sell-side houseAnalyst
BerenbergAdam Tomlinson
Canaccord GenuityKarl Burns
Deutsche NumisAlison Lygo
HSBCCharlie Rothbarth
JefferiesAndrew Wade
JP MorganGeorgina Johanan
Panmure LiberumAnubhav Malhotra
Peel HuntJonathan Pritchard
RBC Capital MarketsRoss Broadfoot
Singer Capital MarketsMatthew McEachran
UBSBeatrice Alen

Archive of sell side consensus

09 Apr 2025

Sell-side consensus summary as at 9 April 2025

18 Mar 2025

Sell-side consensus summary as at 18 March 2025

02 Jan 2025

Sell-side consensus summary as at 2 January 2025

06 Dec 2024

Sell-side consensus summary as at 6 December 2024

20 Nov 2024

Sell-side consensus summary as at 20 November 2024